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Modelled monthly distributions of priority seabirds (Southern Hemisphere) (NESP MaC 4.7)

This dataset contains modelled monthly distributions of priority seabirds developed to support assessment of exposure to offshore renewable energy development as part of NESP MaC Project 4.7. Distributions are modelled for six species: Amsterdam Albatross, Gould’s Petrel, Gray-headed Albatross, Northern Royal Albatross, Shy Albatross and Southern Giant Petrel. The underlying project priority species were identified by NOPSEMA and DCCEEW, building on species priorities investigated under NESP MaC Project 3.21.


Continuous integrated space-time species distribution models were fitted across the Southern Hemisphere using observations from multiple data types, including tracking, presence-absence, abundance and presence-only records. The outputs describe spatial and seasonal variation in seabird distribution on a 5 km equal-area EASE-Grid 2.0 grid. Two related raster products are provided for each modelled taxon: (1) a normalised population-distribution surface representing the relative proportion of the modelled population within each grid cell; and (2) an estimated population-density surface (individuals per km²) derived by scaling these proportions by the estimated total adult population size (Southern hemisphere).


The models were developed to provide spatially and temporally explicit seabird distributions for cumulative risk assessment, including assessment of overlap with offshore renewable energy activities. Monthly outputs describe seasonal patterns across January–December.


***This data is under development. Access to the finalised spatial data will be provided once finalised, estimated early 2027.***

Simple

Identification info

Date (Publication)
2026-10-10T00:00:00

Identifier

Title
Information and documentation - Digital object identifier system
Citation identifier
ISO 26324:2012

Code
10.25959/A9G2-7252
Codespace
doi.org
Description
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

Principal investigator

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation - Hosack, Geoffrey
CSIRO Technology
ROR ID >

ORCID >

Principal investigator

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation - Peel, David
CSIRO Technology
ROR ID >

ORCID >

Principal investigator

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation - Foster, Scott
CSIRO Technology
ROR ID >

ORCID >

Principal investigator

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation - Hayes, Keith
CSIRO Technology
ROR ID >

ORCID >

Collaborator

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation - El-Hachem, Maud
CSIRO Technology
ROR ID >

ORCID >

Collaborator

Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies - Williams, Joel
University of Tasmania
ROR ID >

ORCID >

Collaborator

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation - Beeton, Nicholas
CSIRO Technology
ROR ID >

ORCID >

Credit
The data collections described in this record are funded by the Australian Government Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water (DCCEEW) through the NESP Marine and Coastal Hub. In addition to NESP (DCCEEW) funding, this project is matched by an equivalent amount of in-kind support and co-investment from project partners and collaborators.
Status
Under development

Point of contact

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation - Hayes, Keith
CSIRO Technology
Tasmania
Australia
ROR ID >

ORCID >

Topic category
  • Biota

Extent

N
S
E
W


Temporal extent

Time period
2024-01-01 2024-12-31
Maintenance and update frequency
Not planned
Keywords (Project)
  • National Environmental Science Program (NESP) Marine and Coastal Hub
Keywords (Theme)
  • Offshore wind farms
  • Offshore renewable energy
  • Seabirds
Keywords (Taxon)
  • Diomedea amsterdamensis
  • Pterodroma leucoptera
  • Thalassarche chrysostoma
  • Diomedea sanfordi
  • Thalassarche cauta
  • Macronectes giganteus
Global Change Master Directory Earth Science Keywords, Version 8.5
  • ANIMAL ECOLOGY AND BEHAVIOR
  • SPECIES MIGRATION
  • ALBATROSSES/PETRELS AND ALLIES
Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification (ANZSRC): Fields of Research
  • Marine and Estuarine Ecology (incl. Marine Ichthyology)
  • Behavioural Ecology
  • Population Ecology

Resource constraints

Classification
Unclassified

Resource constraints

Linkage
https://licensebuttons.net/l/by/4.0/88x31.png

License Graphic

Title
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
Alternate title
CC-BY
Edition
4.0


>

Website
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

License Text

Other constraints
Cite data as: Hosack, G., Peel, D., Foster, S., Hayes, K., El-Hachem, M., Williams, J., & Beeton, N. (2026). Modelled monthly distributions of priority seabirds (Southern Hemisphere) [Dataset]. Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies. https://doi.org/10.25959/A9G2-7252

Resource constraints

Other constraints
This dataset is hosted by the University of Tasmania, on behalf of CSIRO and NESP Marine and Coastal Hub Project 4.7.

Associated resource

Title
NESP MaC Project 4.7 - Development of regional modelling and risk assessments to inform offshore renewable decision-making, 2024-2027 (CSIRO)

Identifier

Code
10.71676/c08a3bc3
Codespace
raid.org
Description
Project RAiD
Association Type
Dependency
Initiative Type
Project
Language
English
Character encoding
UTF8

Distribution Information

Distribution format
  • GeoTIFF

Resource lineage

Statement
Observations of priority seabirds were collated across the Southern Hemisphere from multiple sources and classified according to observation type, including tracking, mark-recapture, presence-absence, abundance, abundance-only and presence-only records. Data were standardised for modelling by converting observations to presence-absence form where appropriate. True absences were retained from structured presence-absence surveys, while pseudo-absences/background locations were generated for presence-only and tracking data. Continuous integrated space-time species distribution models were fitted using the mgcv R package (https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/mgcv/index.html). The models combine multiple observation types to estimate how each species’ distribution varies temporally and spatially across the Southern Hemisphere. Spatial and seasonal patterns were estimated directly from the observations using a smooth space-time model with a complementary log-log link. Models were fitted across the Southern Hemisphere on a 5 km equal-area EASE-Grid 2.0 grid. Modelled distributions were normalised to represent the relative proportion of the population occurring in each grid cell across the spatial domain, with all valid grid cells summing to 1 for each monthly band. Estimated population density was then derived by scaling these proportions by an estimated adult population size for the Southern Hemisphere and dividing by result by 25 to return a metric of individuals per km². Bands 1–12 represent January–December, with 2024 used as a reference year for the modelled annual cycle. 𝗗𝗮𝘁𝗮 𝗗𝗶𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗿𝘆 The dataset contains two 12-band raster products for each species: *_ProportionN.tif = proportion of the modelled population occurring within each 5 km grid cell. All valid grid cells sum to 1 for each monthly band. *_individuals_per_km2.tif = estimated population density within each grid cell, expressed as adult individuals per km² and derived from the corresponding population-proportion surface.
Hierarchy level
Dataset
Hierarchy level
Dataset

Metadata

Metadata identifier
urn:uuid/f1b12505-ac1d-4714-803b-d4f65f897879

Language
English
Character encoding
UTF8

Distributor

Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies - Emma Flukes (NESP Marine and Coastal Hub Data Manager (Southern node))
Parent metadata
  • NESP MaC Project 4.7 - Development of regional modelling and risk assessments to inform offshore renewable decision-making, 2024-2027 (CSIRO)

Type of resource

Resource scope
Dataset
Metadata linkage
https://metadata.imas.utas.edu.au/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/f1b12505-ac1d-4714-803b-d4f65f897879

Point of truth URL of this metadata record

Date info (Creation)
2026-10-10T00:00:00
Date info (Revision)
2026-10-19T17:55:00

Metadata standard

Title
ISO 19115-3:2018
 
 

Overviews

Preview of seabird species distribution model output

Spatial extent

N
S
E
W


Keywords

Offshore renewable energy Offshore wind farms Seabirds
Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classification (ANZSRC): Fields of Research
Behavioural Ecology Marine and Estuarine Ecology (incl. Marine Ichthyology) Population Ecology
Global Change Master Directory Earth Science Keywords, Version 8.5
ALBATROSSES/PETRELS AND ALLIES ANIMAL ECOLOGY AND BEHAVIOR SPECIES MIGRATION

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Associated resources

Not available


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